05-24-2005, 06:28 AM
<!--QuoteBegin-->QUOTE<!--QuoteEBegin-->PTI reports on CBN's musings.
Relations with BJP had negative impact on minority votes: TDP<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
I believe this is just a drama from the current ground realities in Andhra Pradesh.
CBN and TDP are not in a position to desert BJP and go alone because BJP has substantial amount of votes there to ensure TDP's defeat. The minute BJP stands on it own in the election, congress will win the state easily.
First of all let's analyze which minorities he is talking about.
Muslims:
6% to 8% in the whole state. 60% of this is in just Hyderabad and suburbs. They can only change the fortunes in and around Hyderabad and they vote to MIM anyway. Muslim votes to TDP even in case of distancing itself from BJP will not yield any results.
Christians:
90% of the this population is convert from SC communities. This population and SC population are traditionally congress voters. They never voted to TDP since 1983(1983 was the NTR wave and everybody voted to TDP because NTR was populat actor.)
The gain from minorities for TDP for not aligning with BJP is negligible but the loss is going to be very huge. TDP will almost get blank from Hyderabad and many other Telangana areas.
The actual vote difference between TDP and congress is never more than 5% to 6%. The votes of left parties all together is dwindling from time to time. Their total votes are less than BJP's vote percentage in the state.
If TDP wants to commit suicide, then best of luck. For CBN there is no other option but he and his partymen makes some secular noise now and then just to keep some of his party leaders from minority community in good spirits.
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TDP just needs a small swing to come back to power and YSR is doing all he can do to give this edge to TDP. YSR is not able to do anything that he promised(like free power etc.) His administration has no chance because of the loans that are taken in the last decade of TDP rule. He cannot do anything popular and people are looking for the results.
The perception in AP is TDP will come back except in Telangana if elections are held today.
Relations with BJP had negative impact on minority votes: TDP<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
I believe this is just a drama from the current ground realities in Andhra Pradesh.
CBN and TDP are not in a position to desert BJP and go alone because BJP has substantial amount of votes there to ensure TDP's defeat. The minute BJP stands on it own in the election, congress will win the state easily.
First of all let's analyze which minorities he is talking about.
Muslims:
6% to 8% in the whole state. 60% of this is in just Hyderabad and suburbs. They can only change the fortunes in and around Hyderabad and they vote to MIM anyway. Muslim votes to TDP even in case of distancing itself from BJP will not yield any results.
Christians:
90% of the this population is convert from SC communities. This population and SC population are traditionally congress voters. They never voted to TDP since 1983(1983 was the NTR wave and everybody voted to TDP because NTR was populat actor.)
The gain from minorities for TDP for not aligning with BJP is negligible but the loss is going to be very huge. TDP will almost get blank from Hyderabad and many other Telangana areas.
The actual vote difference between TDP and congress is never more than 5% to 6%. The votes of left parties all together is dwindling from time to time. Their total votes are less than BJP's vote percentage in the state.
If TDP wants to commit suicide, then best of luck. For CBN there is no other option but he and his partymen makes some secular noise now and then just to keep some of his party leaders from minority community in good spirits.
--------------------------
TDP just needs a small swing to come back to power and YSR is doing all he can do to give this edge to TDP. YSR is not able to do anything that he promised(like free power etc.) His administration has no chance because of the loans that are taken in the last decade of TDP rule. He cannot do anything popular and people are looking for the results.
The perception in AP is TDP will come back except in Telangana if elections are held today.