Congress May Call For Mid Term Poll

[Guest]

In AP both TDP and BJP are testing their individual strengths. These are just municipal elections and they want to see their independent strengths. I beleive that is all. I wouldn't be surprised if they again have electoral adjustments during the next assembly elections or Loksabha elections.

In the changed political and economic scenario of AP, TDP is not too strong as it used to be and cannot anymore play left oriented politics. In other words, it is impossible for communist parties of AP to align with TDP for the following reasons:

1) TDP is weak in Telangana where communists and BJP are having some influence on voters.
2) Naxals are anti-TDP and soft on communist parties. For this reason alone communists cannot align with TDP.
3) Communist votes in other parts of AP is very negligible to even consider.

Regarding Muslim votes:
1) There is about 2% of Muslims in other parts of AP other than Hyderabad. The Muslim votes goes to either congress or MIM.
2) By not aligning with BJP the number of Muslim votes that TDP can get will not translate into number of seats.

Regarding Christian votes:
Christians of AP are mostly converted from SC communities. This section are traditionally aligned to congress even during NTR waves.

Hence TDP has to either go alone or align with BJP in case of close context. Trying for any other combination in my opinion is going to be disastorous for TDP because there is a possibility of losing its base(Middle castes + backward classes). BJP has taken a chunk of TDP's base not any other's base.

Revival of the third front is really difficult until both BJP and Congress wins less than 100 each. Each state has it's own local political cofiguration that will not allow a independent third front.