UP, Gujarat, UT, Punjab- Election 2007

[Guest]

<b>Congress has a slender edge in this cliffhanger</b>
<i>Sanjay Kumar, Rajeeva Karandikar & Yogendra Yadav</i> -HT-CNN-IBN Exit Poll

Same pollester gang who did previous evaluation on
1) Favorite polictical leader - they announced MMS as winner but data reflected something else
2) Whole India is in favor of OBC reservation - Sampling size was hilarious.
...............................more

Let see how close they are this time. <!--emo&--><img src='style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/biggrin.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='biggrin.gif' /><!--endemo-->
Again, sampling size is great <!--emo&--><img src='style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/biggrin.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='biggrin.gif' /><!--endemo-->
<!--QuoteBegin-->QUOTE<!--QuoteEBegin-->Our exit poll, based on interviews with<b> 5217 respondents outside 115 polling booths in 40 assembly </b>constituencies spread across the state, shows that both the contenders for power are placed evenly in terms of votes<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd--><!--QuoteBegin-->QUOTE<!--QuoteEBegin-->One important reason for this is that, unlike last time, <b>the BJP has proved to be a useful ally for the Akalis in these two regions with substantial Hindu population.</b>

However, the <b>Congress is set to gain an upper hand in the agrarian belt of Malwa, the traditional bastion of the Akalis</b>. Since the Malwa region has 65 seats in the 117 member assembly, this can offset other losses for the Congress.

Taking everything into account we expect the<b> Congress to win between 53 and 63 seats</b>, and finish slightly ahead of the <b>Akali-BJP combine  that may win 47 to 57 seats.</b> In political terms this projection leaves all the three possibilities open.
<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
Congress is losing Hindu votes, no surprise here.