02-02-2005, 12:25 AM
It is unlikely that there will be mid-term elections that Congress can call, unless UPA breaks down. We may see the sign of the breakdown after the outcome of Bihar elections.
Any gains from the states the news mentions - Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat - are offset by the losses in the other states. In AP alone they may lose their big numbers. In UP, in four-party contesting, BJP is likely to win if Congress takes SP's votes. So whaever Congress got in last election is best possible numbers for the Congress, they may not get more than that in next elections unless they upset all regional parties like they did in AP in the last elections. Beating BJP alone is not enough.
Any gains from the states the news mentions - Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat - are offset by the losses in the other states. In AP alone they may lose their big numbers. In UP, in four-party contesting, BJP is likely to win if Congress takes SP's votes. So whaever Congress got in last election is best possible numbers for the Congress, they may not get more than that in next elections unless they upset all regional parties like they did in AP in the last elections. Beating BJP alone is not enough.