<!--QuoteBegin-ashyam+Mar 16 2007, 06:31 PM-->QUOTE(ashyam @ Mar 16 2007, 06:31 PM)<!--QuoteEBegin-->Most likely Yogi will align with Uma Bharati. Overall it will damage not just the BJP but hindutva movement too.
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Yogi will neither align with Uma Bharati, nor will it impact Hindutva movement or BJP negatively. Purvanchal is one area which already has a Hindu vote bank, and Hindus with large yield can vote together, for the candidate decided by the Math.
BJP has been winning Lok Sabha and Vidhan Sabha seats in Gorakhpur region due to Math support, and until 89, previous mahant used to contest and win independently. Every now and then, even after Yogi joining BJP, Math had supported candidates from several parties in surrounding MLA seats - except SP and communists. So at macro level, no impact to BJP's numbers, after winning he will support BJP/NDA.
What Yogi is after? He is after breaking the control of Lucknow and Delhi over Gorakhpur and create a 'Hindu state'. If my speculatation is right, very soon he should initiate and lead a movement for a separate state called Purvanchal or Gorakshanchal, with Gorakhpur as its capital. Local leaders from all parties will be forced to join him in this movement. This will also get a lot of mass-based support, even from non-Hindus. "ALL" the political leaders in UP, across all the parties, are from western UP. ALL of them - Mulayam Singh, Mayavati, Kalyan Singh, Ajit Singh, Rajnath Singh, and so on. After Kamalapati Tripathi and Veer Bahadur Singh, eastern UP has seen no state level leader of any significance.
Now, Yogi can actually use the vacuum, and fill the space. Let us see how he plays it. (my speculation only)
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Yogi will neither align with Uma Bharati, nor will it impact Hindutva movement or BJP negatively. Purvanchal is one area which already has a Hindu vote bank, and Hindus with large yield can vote together, for the candidate decided by the Math.
BJP has been winning Lok Sabha and Vidhan Sabha seats in Gorakhpur region due to Math support, and until 89, previous mahant used to contest and win independently. Every now and then, even after Yogi joining BJP, Math had supported candidates from several parties in surrounding MLA seats - except SP and communists. So at macro level, no impact to BJP's numbers, after winning he will support BJP/NDA.
What Yogi is after? He is after breaking the control of Lucknow and Delhi over Gorakhpur and create a 'Hindu state'. If my speculatation is right, very soon he should initiate and lead a movement for a separate state called Purvanchal or Gorakshanchal, with Gorakhpur as its capital. Local leaders from all parties will be forced to join him in this movement. This will also get a lot of mass-based support, even from non-Hindus. "ALL" the political leaders in UP, across all the parties, are from western UP. ALL of them - Mulayam Singh, Mayavati, Kalyan Singh, Ajit Singh, Rajnath Singh, and so on. After Kamalapati Tripathi and Veer Bahadur Singh, eastern UP has seen no state level leader of any significance.
Now, Yogi can actually use the vacuum, and fill the space. Let us see how he plays it. (my speculation only)