04-17-2007, 11:16 AM
<!--QuoteBegin-Raju+Apr 17 2007, 04:06 PM-->QUOTE(Raju @ Apr 17 2007, 04:06 PM)<!--QuoteEBegin-->NASA predicts huge solar flares directed towards earth between 2010 and 2012
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2006/10...tormwarning.htm
<!--QuoteBegin--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE<!--QuoteEBegin-->Solar Storm Warning
When the belt is turning "fast," it means that lots of magnetic fields are being swept up, and that a future sunspot cycle is going to be intense. This is a basis for forecasting: "<b>The belt was turning fast in 1986-1996," says Hathaway. "Old magnetic fields swept up then should re-appear as big sunspots in 2010-2011."</b>
Like most experts in the field, Hathaway has confidence in the conveyor belt model and agrees with Dikpati that the next solar maximum should be a doozy. But he disagrees with one point. <b>Dikpati's forecast puts Solar Max at 2012. Hathaway believes it will arrive sooner, in 2010 or 2011.</b>
"History shows that big sunspot cycles 'ramp up' faster than small ones," he says. "I expect to see the first sunspots of the next cycle appear in late 2006 or 2007âand Solar Max to be underway by 2010 or 2011."
Who's right? Time will tell. Either way, a storm is coming. <!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2006/10...tormwarning.htm
[right][snapback]67223[/snapback][/right]
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->
My recollection of the 1987 is one of a sudden change into an extremely hot year. There was severe drought in few states. That 1987 drought is still considered the greatest drought that India had in the century. I still have images fresh in my memory, while returning to Delhi from Calcutta after summer vacations, of dried up cattle carcass lying on either side of the rail tracks along stretches in UP.
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2006/10...tormwarning.htm
<!--QuoteBegin--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE<!--QuoteEBegin-->Solar Storm Warning
When the belt is turning "fast," it means that lots of magnetic fields are being swept up, and that a future sunspot cycle is going to be intense. This is a basis for forecasting: "<b>The belt was turning fast in 1986-1996," says Hathaway. "Old magnetic fields swept up then should re-appear as big sunspots in 2010-2011."</b>
Like most experts in the field, Hathaway has confidence in the conveyor belt model and agrees with Dikpati that the next solar maximum should be a doozy. But he disagrees with one point. <b>Dikpati's forecast puts Solar Max at 2012. Hathaway believes it will arrive sooner, in 2010 or 2011.</b>
"History shows that big sunspot cycles 'ramp up' faster than small ones," he says. "I expect to see the first sunspots of the next cycle appear in late 2006 or 2007âand Solar Max to be underway by 2010 or 2011."
Who's right? Time will tell. Either way, a storm is coming. <!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2006/10...tormwarning.htm
[right][snapback]67223[/snapback][/right]
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->
My recollection of the 1987 is one of a sudden change into an extremely hot year. There was severe drought in few states. That 1987 drought is still considered the greatest drought that India had in the century. I still have images fresh in my memory, while returning to Delhi from Calcutta after summer vacations, of dried up cattle carcass lying on either side of the rail tracks along stretches in UP.