Pakistan : Terrorist Wahabi Islamic Rep Pakistan 7

[Arun_S]

Cross posting ...



[url="http://www.kforcegov.com/Services/IS/NightWatch/NightWatch_11000107.aspx"]NightWatch [/url]For the Night of 19 May 2011

China-Pakistan: Update. On the third day of Pakistani Prime Minister Gilani's visit to China - and the 60th anniversary of diplomatic relations, [size="3"][color="#FF0000"]China warned that any attack on Pakistan would be tantamount to an attack on China[/color][/size], The News reported.



Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao reportedly told Pakistani Prime Minister Gilani that Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi warned Washington during the U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue to respect Pakistan's sovereignty. Moreover, Beijing will send a special envoy to Islamabad to express solidarity with Pakistan, a senior Chinese official said.



Comment: The precise wording and the intentions of the Chinese are not clear and there seems to be less substance than grandstanding. The words suggest China has agreed to act as Pakistan's protector, in some circumstances.



China's implied promise of a response would seem to apply to another US raid against terrorists and to drone attacks. What is not clear is how China might honor that commitment.



The language also seems to indicate that China would assist Pakistan in the event of an attack from India. China has done so for 40 years. On the other hand, the new alliance language also might imply that in the event of a war between India and China, [color="#FF0000"]Pakistan would be obliged to attack India on the flank[/color].



[color="#0000FF"]A violation of sovereignty is an act of war, but it cuts in many directions. For example, Pakistan's harboring of Taliban leader Mullah Omar is certainly a hostile act against Afghanistan and arguably an act of war.[/color]



Nevertheless, the language reported by The News indicates a significant strengthening of the defense relationship, possibly converting it into an alliance as close as that which China has with North Korea. After the US, China is emerging as the largest beneficiary from the death of bin Laden!

So nuclear attack by TSP on India will assuredly invite Indian second strike on Pakistan and China.



The question is how credible is this posture given that:

1. Indian nuclear weapons are so few if they have to be credible against not just Paki-satan but also China
2. Indian weapon yield is something that China has derided and is no match compared to Chinese nuclear fire power
3. The quantity of Indian Agni missiles required to take on Paki and China does not simply exist; particularity given that Agni-3, Agni-4 Agni- 5 Agni- 6 Agni -8 .. 9 .. 10.... are not yet proven and worse still do not yet exist in inventory

Indian military doctrine and capability are HOT words, and no better than gastric flatulence.