03-08-2008, 12:21 PM
I wonder, what will be the impact of nuke deal on BJP? Current assumption is that left will pull down UPA if they go ahead to sign the deal, and if the deal is not signed the whole charade will fall on the face of UPA. Either way, it is win for BJP.
Based on the discussions and reports on the BRF, indications are that the deal will be signed. Since the general elections are very near and not wanting to share responsibility for lack of governance by UPA, I think the left will pull down the goverment immediately after the deal is signed. So UPA and left will try to split the pro-deal and anti-deal votes - basically urban votes.
Where does BJP stand in this situation? Only thing BJP can argue is that left should have pulled down UPA before the deal was signed, and by pulling down after the deal was signed left was actually supporting the deal. Depending on the media campaign on the deal and budget impact, the advantage for BJP may not be there.
I think BJP should prepare for this scenario, and start its own campaign for better renegotiation of the deal and against UPA's surrender of India's nuclear sovereignity. The left must be challenged to pull down the UPA government well before the deal is signed. It should create an environment such that if the deal is signed, majority of citizens are skeptics of the deal, question the moral right for a minority govt. to sign an important deal and people's views are aligned with that of BJP.
Based on the discussions and reports on the BRF, indications are that the deal will be signed. Since the general elections are very near and not wanting to share responsibility for lack of governance by UPA, I think the left will pull down the goverment immediately after the deal is signed. So UPA and left will try to split the pro-deal and anti-deal votes - basically urban votes.
Where does BJP stand in this situation? Only thing BJP can argue is that left should have pulled down UPA before the deal was signed, and by pulling down after the deal was signed left was actually supporting the deal. Depending on the media campaign on the deal and budget impact, the advantage for BJP may not be there.
I think BJP should prepare for this scenario, and start its own campaign for better renegotiation of the deal and against UPA's surrender of India's nuclear sovereignity. The left must be challenged to pull down the UPA government well before the deal is signed. It should create an environment such that if the deal is signed, majority of citizens are skeptics of the deal, question the moral right for a minority govt. to sign an important deal and people's views are aligned with that of BJP.