05-06-2008, 03:55 AM
At this stage we don't have accurate feel about Research Triangle in NC (Raliegh, Durham, Cary) This area is basically 19% liberals and majority of them are white. They call themselves liberals so lot of pollsters are presuming they will vote for Obama, but my gut feeling and after talking to couple of people they may say they will vote for Obama but in ballot vote for Hillary. After Wright issue, Obama is no longer electable in GE. So sane democrats will vote for Hillary, better chance.
Other factor which is not in news, Bill Clinton blanketing NC rural, which can bring both White and Black votes. Hillary need only 15-20% black votes to pull this off or liberals 10-15%.
My own assesment based on call response it is neck to neck but undecided are 16%. If you are interested to make free calls on her behalf, I can hook you up.
In IN, Chicago area will come for Hillary, because of Rezko trial, rural population is voting based on race. Indianpolis will go for Obama because of Black population. But his number is going down in Black community after Wright issue. Black leaders are pitching with code language, but it may not work. Outcome may not be 95% blacks voting for Obama. I think this time it may be in 80s.
Today Steve Wonder is singing for Obama in IN.
<b>ID law could depress black turnout in Ind. </b>link
So felon and Chicago bus can't vote this time
Other factor which is not in news, Bill Clinton blanketing NC rural, which can bring both White and Black votes. Hillary need only 15-20% black votes to pull this off or liberals 10-15%.
My own assesment based on call response it is neck to neck but undecided are 16%. If you are interested to make free calls on her behalf, I can hook you up.
In IN, Chicago area will come for Hillary, because of Rezko trial, rural population is voting based on race. Indianpolis will go for Obama because of Black population. But his number is going down in Black community after Wright issue. Black leaders are pitching with code language, but it may not work. Outcome may not be 95% blacks voting for Obama. I think this time it may be in 80s.
Today Steve Wonder is singing for Obama in IN.
<b>ID law could depress black turnout in Ind. </b>link
So felon and Chicago bus can't vote this time