Nuclear Thread - 4

[Naresh]

<!--QuoteBegin-ravish+Sep 9 2008, 10:25 PM-->QUOTE(ravish @ Sep 9 2008, 10:25 PM)<!--QuoteEBegin-->Good news from Beijing

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<b>ravish Ji :</b>

As you well know the Chinese do not like “Losing Face”.

AAA : Reasons for the Chinese throwing a spanner in the works at the Eleventh Hour :

1. China does deeply resent India assiduously, confidently, slowly and surely is working towards attaining equality - on a Relative Basis - with China but mind you “NOT PARITY”

2. China is mindful of the Pakistanis ability to :

(a) Fuel, Support and give all possible Assistance to the Uyghur Freedom Fighters enabling them to carry our Acts of Terrorism in Xinjiang (Formerly - up to 1949 the Republic of East Turkmenistan).

(b) China is working very hard to establish “A String or Pearls” i.e. Ports providing Naval Base Facilities - not only to provide for the Replenishment of Fuel, Food, Arms, Ammunition, and also change of Personnel. In addition such “Naval Bases” would also have Airports for the use of the Chinese Air Force

© Basing Chinese Naval Vessels i.e. a Couple of Destroyers, Frigates, Missile Boats, Submarines, Replenishment Vessels carrying Stores, Food, Fuel etc. will cause a “Minor” Alarm in Oil Tankers carrying Crude Oil from the Persian Gulf to various “East Bound” Destination i.e. India and further Eastern Countries but this would only be a minor irritation as the Chinese Navy would not be able to “Blow Up” the Oil Tankers for the simple reason that it would cause a Humongous Maine Pollution wherein the Oil Slicks would most probably land on Iranian and Pakistani Shores. Thus there is no danger of a Chinese Blockade as all the Ships would stay out of Pakistani Territorial Limits - I believe it is 12 Miles.

The Idea of China using the Port of Gwadar for anything else but as a “Naval and air Base” is a Figment of the Pakistani Abdul the Bul Buls' and Burqa Bilqis’ Rich Islamic Imagination!

You will note that the Chinese feel that a Railway from Gwadar to Kashi in Xinjiang is unable to use the presently accessible Mountain Passes and I very much doubt if there is a Railway connection between Gwadar and Kashi being built in this or possible the next decade.

It might come to pass that the Chinese - on normalizing their relationship with India - could try to have their Tibetan Railway System being extended to Eastern India to enable Indian Ports to be used though I am not very confident of this connection in the near future.

BBB : Reasons for China finally agreeing to let India get a Nuclear Deal at the NSG :

3. Notwithstanding the above reasons, China also needs India for :

(i) Assured supply of Raw Materials especially Iron Ore of which China is Importing 70 Million Tonnes Annually from India.

(ii) Export Market for Chinese “Cheap and Shoddy” Goods.

(iii) Export Market for Sophisticated Chinese Manufactured Goods.

(iv) I believe that the India China Annual Trade is approaching the US Dollars Fifty Billion Mark and it is very Heavily in China's Favour - possibly US Dollars 20 Billion Annually.

In addition it might come to pass that the Chinese - on normalizing their relationship with India - could try to have their Tibetan Railway System being extended to Eastern India to enable Indian Ports to be used though I am not very confident of this connection in the near future.

These, Ravish Ji, are my random thoughts on the subject and I look forward to your views.

Cheers <!--emo&:beer--><img src='style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/cheers.gif' border='0' style='vertical-align:middle' alt='cheers.gif' /><!--endemo-->