02-07-2009, 08:39 PM
<!--QuoteBegin-->QUOTE<!--QuoteEBegin-->âThe Congress is a marginal force in Uttar Pradesh. We are ready to allot seats where the Congress has a chance to win,â claimed a SP leader.<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
It is true. Between Congress and Kalyan Singh the choice is not at all difficult for Mulayam. Only thing is the damage to the SP on its Muslim base by the Congress propaganda is a consideration for him. I believe the Muslims would vote for Maya rather than Sonia if they choose not to vote for Mulayam. This is because, in spite of the inability of the BJP to mount a concerted attack on the Congress to seize the agenda for whatever reason, the people at large in India including in UP are finding that the Congress is a spent force. That way Congress isn't going to gain however it will increase the estrangement between the Congress and the SP. Muslims in UP are split three ways - between Mulayam's SP, Maya's BSP and only distant thirdly to the Congress.
My national estimate on the outcome of the next general election is that the BJP will be the single largest party with around 150 seats with Maya's BSP coming second and the Congress closely following it as the third party. This is because Andhra and Assam will be decisively voting against the Congress. Congress will also lose in other states because its allies will also lose such as in Tamilnadu and Bihar and possibly Maharashtra. Neither the NDA nor the UPA can muster majority. Maya and Jaya will be players unlike last time. It is hard to say what can happen in this scenerio.
It is true. Between Congress and Kalyan Singh the choice is not at all difficult for Mulayam. Only thing is the damage to the SP on its Muslim base by the Congress propaganda is a consideration for him. I believe the Muslims would vote for Maya rather than Sonia if they choose not to vote for Mulayam. This is because, in spite of the inability of the BJP to mount a concerted attack on the Congress to seize the agenda for whatever reason, the people at large in India including in UP are finding that the Congress is a spent force. That way Congress isn't going to gain however it will increase the estrangement between the Congress and the SP. Muslims in UP are split three ways - between Mulayam's SP, Maya's BSP and only distant thirdly to the Congress.
My national estimate on the outcome of the next general election is that the BJP will be the single largest party with around 150 seats with Maya's BSP coming second and the Congress closely following it as the third party. This is because Andhra and Assam will be decisively voting against the Congress. Congress will also lose in other states because its allies will also lose such as in Tamilnadu and Bihar and possibly Maharashtra. Neither the NDA nor the UPA can muster majority. Maya and Jaya will be players unlike last time. It is hard to say what can happen in this scenerio.