05-25-2009, 04:28 PM
By hypothetically having different political combinations and trying to interpose the present voting figures, one can create imaginarily voting patterns. However , in a actual situation it cannot be guaranteed that the voting pattern would have remained the same.
An analysis of the voters trend indicates that development and economic agenda have been the main deciding factor. In the process , almost all the political parties have gone off the mark as they were still counting the possible seats on the basis of the old voting pattern based on caste , personal popularity or notoriety ( as the case may be) , religion and party affiliation.
In fact, this time the voters have almost completely surprised the political parties, exit poll specialists and others. Nobody could guess the real mind of the majority of the voters. The religious factor also did not play any decisive roll and so the BJP did not perform well.
The reality has been quite contrary to Mudyjiâs one liner above. The voters in no way voted blindly, they have in fact voted very wisely and have also been able to maintain total secrecy .The most glaring example has been the fate of RJD and Ram Vilas Paswan in Bihar. Such strong political outfits in the State of Bihar, having the full backing of Caste and individual candidates who in most of the cases being the local don, could not give a formidable performance. The same has been the fate of the Left parties in West Bengal . Here perhaps the situation has been even worst. The Left has totally failed despite having the State Government apparatus at its disposal. Despite controlling the police and the administrative machinery in the State, the Left parties could not rig the polls nor could they induce the voters from changing the voting pattern.
The examples of Bihar and west Bengal cited above is reflective of the strong resolve and determination of the voters. This is not possible if the voters have exercised their franchise blindly on party lines or caste or religious lines, as has happened in the past. This new awakening amongst the voters needs to be taken note of by all political parties in the years to come. If the UPA fail, to perform to the expectation of the voters, they will have no hesitation to show them the door in the next general election. At the same time if the NDA can put up some formidable program of governance, the voters may again give them a try. However, if the NDA tries to maintain its old agenda and its old way of retaining elderly leaders, its revival of fortunes will indeed be difficult.
An analysis of the voters trend indicates that development and economic agenda have been the main deciding factor. In the process , almost all the political parties have gone off the mark as they were still counting the possible seats on the basis of the old voting pattern based on caste , personal popularity or notoriety ( as the case may be) , religion and party affiliation.
In fact, this time the voters have almost completely surprised the political parties, exit poll specialists and others. Nobody could guess the real mind of the majority of the voters. The religious factor also did not play any decisive roll and so the BJP did not perform well.
The reality has been quite contrary to Mudyjiâs one liner above. The voters in no way voted blindly, they have in fact voted very wisely and have also been able to maintain total secrecy .The most glaring example has been the fate of RJD and Ram Vilas Paswan in Bihar. Such strong political outfits in the State of Bihar, having the full backing of Caste and individual candidates who in most of the cases being the local don, could not give a formidable performance. The same has been the fate of the Left parties in West Bengal . Here perhaps the situation has been even worst. The Left has totally failed despite having the State Government apparatus at its disposal. Despite controlling the police and the administrative machinery in the State, the Left parties could not rig the polls nor could they induce the voters from changing the voting pattern.
The examples of Bihar and west Bengal cited above is reflective of the strong resolve and determination of the voters. This is not possible if the voters have exercised their franchise blindly on party lines or caste or religious lines, as has happened in the past. This new awakening amongst the voters needs to be taken note of by all political parties in the years to come. If the UPA fail, to perform to the expectation of the voters, they will have no hesitation to show them the door in the next general election. At the same time if the NDA can put up some formidable program of governance, the voters may again give them a try. However, if the NDA tries to maintain its old agenda and its old way of retaining elderly leaders, its revival of fortunes will indeed be difficult.