Viren, Need to go to the site of EPW and read the survey.
MVK says firstly:
<!--QuoteBegin-->QUOTE<!--QuoteEBegin-->"despite boosting its tally by an impressive 61 seats, the Congress did this by increasing its vote share by a mere 2 percent of the vote, almost identical to its 1999 vote share.
<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
So what happened?
<!--QuoteBegin-->QUOTE<!--QuoteEBegin-->An equally interesting fact that has emerged is that while the Muslim support for the Congress and the Left fluctuated between 32 per cent in 1998 and 40 per cent in 1999, the support of Muslims for the Samajwadi Party has slipped from a high of 25 percent in 1996 to 10 percent in 2009, and that, apparently, had nothing to do with ideology.
<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
The reality is non Hindutva opposition collapsed in UP & Bihar.
He then says about Gujarat:
<!--QuoteBegin-->QUOTE<!--QuoteEBegin-->The BJP lost ground in Saurashtra, the region where it had swept the Assembly elections. <b>Where and among whom did the Congress outdo the BJP in Gujarat? Among Dalits (Congress won 62 per cent to BJP's 20 per cent), among Adivasis (Congress bagging 55 per cent to BJP's 37 per cent) and understandably among Muslims with Congress bagging 69 percent to BJP's 13 percent.</b>
<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
Those segments did not benefit from BJP's programs and need to be re-addressed as to why?
However he says:
<!--QuoteBegin-->QUOTE<!--QuoteEBegin-->According to the survey, it was Narendra Modi's "continuing popularity" that enabled the BJP to stem the tide. He remains the preferred choice for the Chief Minister's job with 45 per cent of the respondents voting for him with no rival crossing the 10 per cent mark. But the party's massive lead of over 10 percentage points over the Congress in the 1990s has shrunk to only 3 percentage points in the last two Lok Sabha elections.
<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
IOW Modi is Ok but not the party. Since LS dont effect Modi they didnt vote for his party.
So mixed analysis with a lot of extraneous facts included.
MVK says firstly:
<!--QuoteBegin-->QUOTE<!--QuoteEBegin-->"despite boosting its tally by an impressive 61 seats, the Congress did this by increasing its vote share by a mere 2 percent of the vote, almost identical to its 1999 vote share.
<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
So what happened?
<!--QuoteBegin-->QUOTE<!--QuoteEBegin-->An equally interesting fact that has emerged is that while the Muslim support for the Congress and the Left fluctuated between 32 per cent in 1998 and 40 per cent in 1999, the support of Muslims for the Samajwadi Party has slipped from a high of 25 percent in 1996 to 10 percent in 2009, and that, apparently, had nothing to do with ideology.
<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
The reality is non Hindutva opposition collapsed in UP & Bihar.
He then says about Gujarat:
<!--QuoteBegin-->QUOTE<!--QuoteEBegin-->The BJP lost ground in Saurashtra, the region where it had swept the Assembly elections. <b>Where and among whom did the Congress outdo the BJP in Gujarat? Among Dalits (Congress won 62 per cent to BJP's 20 per cent), among Adivasis (Congress bagging 55 per cent to BJP's 37 per cent) and understandably among Muslims with Congress bagging 69 percent to BJP's 13 percent.</b>
<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
Those segments did not benefit from BJP's programs and need to be re-addressed as to why?
However he says:
<!--QuoteBegin-->QUOTE<!--QuoteEBegin-->According to the survey, it was Narendra Modi's "continuing popularity" that enabled the BJP to stem the tide. He remains the preferred choice for the Chief Minister's job with 45 per cent of the respondents voting for him with no rival crossing the 10 per cent mark. But the party's massive lead of over 10 percentage points over the Congress in the 1990s has shrunk to only 3 percentage points in the last two Lok Sabha elections.
<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
IOW Modi is Ok but not the party. Since LS dont effect Modi they didnt vote for his party.
So mixed analysis with a lot of extraneous facts included.