03-04-2010, 11:42 AM
[url="http://afghanistan.blogs.cnn.com/2010/03/03/whatever-happened-to-bin-laden/"]Whatever happened to bin Laden?[/url]
Quote:Those are the questions hovering over several recent developments in the Afghanistan war: the capture of Afghan Taliban military leader Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar, the killing of two key Taliban commanders and an increase in drone attacks.
But several authorities on the eight-year Afghanistan war say no one should expect to see bin Laden in handcuffs anytime soon.
ââ¬ÅNo, I donââ¬â¢t think weââ¬â¢re getting any closer,ââ¬Â says Stephen Tanner, author of ââ¬ÅAfghanistan: A Military History from Alexander the Great to the War against the Taliban."
Tanner says the ISI, Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence Agency, knows where bin Laden is hiding, but is not ready to say.
ââ¬ÅWe got to make a deal with Pakistan because Iââ¬â¢m convinced that heââ¬â¢s [bin Laden] protected by the ISI,ââ¬Â Tanner says.
Tanner says that rogue elements within the ISI - if not the Pakistani government ââ¬â may be using bin Laden as a ââ¬Åtrump cardââ¬Â to exert leverage over the United States. Tanner says that Pakistani leaders are concerned that the U.S. will draw closer to India, Pakistanââ¬â¢s chief rival.
Flashing the bin Laden trump card will insure that the U.S. will continue to send aid to Pakistan because it considers it a bulwark against radical Islam, Tanner says. Without the bin Laden trump card, though, Pakistan would be in danger of being abandoned by the U.S., Tanner says