State News And Discussion - 3

[Guest]

The court may not give stay but will consider the case. That will take sometime. Most probably the court will upheld the disqualification of the 11 members. Five independents will be contentious. However, as per speaker they already joined BJP and hence the 1/3rd applied to them. On top of that one Speaker asked them to appear in person with a deadline and they failed. That will also go in favor of speaker.



Regarding Governer's partisan role, it is all for media and others only. No big deal because the rules have been clearly defined by SC in SR.Bommai case. Speaker is mighty powerful than Governer in these issues.



One more thing there is no constitutal provision to undo Speaker's decision. The options before center are the following:

(1) Put president's rule until all the legal issues are resolved. They cannot do it beyond a certain time unless they search alternatives. If they poach BJP for some more then Speaker can again disqualify those poached.To me the alternative to BJP rule is ruled out.



(2) Pre-emptively go for assembly dissolution with President's rule. In this case even if BJP wins in court, only election will result. BJP has lingayat vote base. They may put CBI cases on Yeddi and first put him behind bars like Madhu Koda or Amit Shah and after that they will go to elections. Use desperate JDS as alliance and take seats from JDS strong holds then edge out BJP a la Rajasthan.