11-07-2010, 07:34 AM
Some updates from Bihar:
JD(U) & BJP seems to be doing good in these first 4 phases. The Yadav vote bank is still strong with Lalu. A big problem in predicting this time is due to the huge amount of anti-party activities (rebel work) in each party.
At least 5 JD(U) MPs have taken seats from RJD for their children & relatives as they didn't get seats from Nitish. Likewise many RJD MPs relatives are fighting in JD(U) ticket. Nitish is facing lot of internal sabotage. Lalu & Congress is also facing huge amount of internal sabotage. Congress is playing a big role in creating internal trouble for Lalu. INC thinks atleast it should be the opposition force in Bihar. So encouraging a lot of Yadav rebels in RJD. The seat sharing between Paswan & Lalu has not helped much as disgruntled people who didn't get seats in each party are working over time to finish them.
Luckily for NDA, this has not happened. Not because of any great honor or behaviour. But because of circumstances. Where ever BJP is strong, JD(U) presence is just minor or namesake. Same way, in places where JD(U) is strong, BJP is minor. So not much inter party fighting in NDA.
Congress belives that yadav rebels and Muslim vote will help it. So congress is going big time after Muslim vote. BJP might benefit by the two way splitting of muslim vote. Also Congress couldn't put any tough challenge to BJP in its traditional vote bank (which some researchers were expecting).
BJP is having internal sabotage in 12 to 15 seats of its entire 103 seats. So compared to other parties it is doing much better.
JD(U) & BJP seems to be doing good in these first 4 phases. The Yadav vote bank is still strong with Lalu. A big problem in predicting this time is due to the huge amount of anti-party activities (rebel work) in each party.
At least 5 JD(U) MPs have taken seats from RJD for their children & relatives as they didn't get seats from Nitish. Likewise many RJD MPs relatives are fighting in JD(U) ticket. Nitish is facing lot of internal sabotage. Lalu & Congress is also facing huge amount of internal sabotage. Congress is playing a big role in creating internal trouble for Lalu. INC thinks atleast it should be the opposition force in Bihar. So encouraging a lot of Yadav rebels in RJD. The seat sharing between Paswan & Lalu has not helped much as disgruntled people who didn't get seats in each party are working over time to finish them.
Luckily for NDA, this has not happened. Not because of any great honor or behaviour. But because of circumstances. Where ever BJP is strong, JD(U) presence is just minor or namesake. Same way, in places where JD(U) is strong, BJP is minor. So not much inter party fighting in NDA.
Congress belives that yadav rebels and Muslim vote will help it. So congress is going big time after Muslim vote. BJP might benefit by the two way splitting of muslim vote. Also Congress couldn't put any tough challenge to BJP in its traditional vote bank (which some researchers were expecting).
BJP is having internal sabotage in 12 to 15 seats of its entire 103 seats. So compared to other parties it is doing much better.