11-24-2010, 06:14 PM
[quote name='Bharat_2009' date='24 November 2010 - 03:50 AM' timestamp='1290591760' post='109427']
I think, regardless of who is in power, it will be a big mistake to test again, since so much is at stake for India at international level (Permanent Security Council Seat, Foreign direct investments, Nuclear deal). Heavy sanctions could be slapped on India again by the US and it could affect millions in terms of job opportunities. Indian politicians wouldn't make a move, until Pakistan drops a nuke on us (Indian soldiers/People). If we are forced into a two front war situation because of that, then nuke testing may be done with out bothering about international pressure and we got nothing to lose at that point.
[/quote]
what mistake ? the cost of not testing is a puny deterretnt that has no credibility. testing has to be done in the next few years to ensure we remain a credible nuk. wpn. state. sanctions are a small and temporary price to pay for this. job opportunities/market will be down for 2-3 yrs at most. if we test at the brink of a 2 frnt sitn, it wll be too little, too late. imagine if ABV thought like you: we would have still been a non-nuke state effectively. testing should be the top national priority till we develop a credible TN wpn. only the scientific fraud RC thinks otherwise. countries that get nukes frm elsewhere are in a different position.
Regarding the losses from testing:
1. Permanent seat: of what use is it if the price to pay is strategic castration ? In any case, for how long can a thermonuclear armed large country be kept out of it if the security council/ UN is to have any teeth whatsoever ?
2. Nuke deal: This is just a device to suffocate the strategic program. The sooner it is abrogated, the better. Even better if it is nullified by our nuclear testing.
3. FDI :yes, halt/slow down for two-three years, like it happened after 1998. Did we collapse ?
The gain of a credible deterrent more than compensates for any losses incurred by testing. We should not become a south korea - thinking every moment about whatit has to lose, and therefore unable to react to grave NoKo provocations.
I think, regardless of who is in power, it will be a big mistake to test again, since so much is at stake for India at international level (Permanent Security Council Seat, Foreign direct investments, Nuclear deal). Heavy sanctions could be slapped on India again by the US and it could affect millions in terms of job opportunities. Indian politicians wouldn't make a move, until Pakistan drops a nuke on us (Indian soldiers/People). If we are forced into a two front war situation because of that, then nuke testing may be done with out bothering about international pressure and we got nothing to lose at that point.
[/quote]
what mistake ? the cost of not testing is a puny deterretnt that has no credibility. testing has to be done in the next few years to ensure we remain a credible nuk. wpn. state. sanctions are a small and temporary price to pay for this. job opportunities/market will be down for 2-3 yrs at most. if we test at the brink of a 2 frnt sitn, it wll be too little, too late. imagine if ABV thought like you: we would have still been a non-nuke state effectively. testing should be the top national priority till we develop a credible TN wpn. only the scientific fraud RC thinks otherwise. countries that get nukes frm elsewhere are in a different position.
Regarding the losses from testing:
1. Permanent seat: of what use is it if the price to pay is strategic castration ? In any case, for how long can a thermonuclear armed large country be kept out of it if the security council/ UN is to have any teeth whatsoever ?
2. Nuke deal: This is just a device to suffocate the strategic program. The sooner it is abrogated, the better. Even better if it is nullified by our nuclear testing.
3. FDI :yes, halt/slow down for two-three years, like it happened after 1998. Did we collapse ?
The gain of a credible deterrent more than compensates for any losses incurred by testing. We should not become a south korea - thinking every moment about whatit has to lose, and therefore unable to react to grave NoKo provocations.