12-15-2010, 09:18 AM
When so many interesting things are going I am just not getting time to write stuff with all thoughts in the forums. <img src='http://www.india-forum.com/forums/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/sad.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt='
' /> I will try to write kacchha.
There are certain questions that needs analysis.
In simple terms why is there a huge talk of mid-term polls? What is the game plan for INC which already has 208 seats to go for a mid term poll? INC is threatening whom if it is just a threat?
To me the following steps happened:
(1) The asscent of Rahul G to PM is ruled out
(2) The politicos especially Chidambaram and Pranab Da thinks it is time to go one up and MMS needs to be shunted out
(3) Raja, CAG reports are opportunities
(4) Chidu was collecting the Radia tapes for a while and he has certain right-wing-elements of the establishment as friends
(5) Pranab Da is a old hand at these stuff. He has the left wingers and old economy friends
(6) The tug of war between Pranab and Chidu is what we are seeing in all aspects while making the 2-Gs in the system as almost ullu-ka-patte
The story so far in the tug-of-war:
(1) Chidu goes for a kill with Telangana declaration. Pranab did not like it and he pulls it back with buying time until the commission report. Chidu is with BJP
(2) Chidu goes full blown against Maoists. Again he is with BJP
(3) Chidu pulls out Radia tapes taking the CAG cue. But he carefully releases involving TATA. Tata is old economy guy and in the Pranab Da camp
(4) Ambanis and Mittals are quite with no comments
(5) Pranab Da releases financial irregularities that occured exactly during Chidu's times. This is to fix Chidu
(6) As though it is not sufficient these folks are competetively exposing one scam after another that has INC hands in it. Food scam is another big one. This is to fix Sharad Pawar and give huge leaverage to Ajit Pawar.
On a different Plane - The Gandhis also wanted a change because solidification of one person makes it difficult and puppet gets its own life.
MMS dimension - MMS has a very good survival instinct. He has more things up his sleeve that will put Gandhis in trouble and also Chidu in trouble. He is quietly passing Telecom scandal money tracks to Subramanium Swamy. He may have sent the details about Chidu's ravages with Ukranian prostitutes etc. as well.
MMS's strategy is very simple. Give a TINA to Gandhis.
But why the threat of Mid-term polls?
I think in these tug-off wars the possibility of Mamta leaving at some point of time is imminent. More she is associated with such huge scams' tainted party and government her future dwindiles. She leaving also helps Pranab Da.
By enraging Jagan and Sharad Pawar and also including too many INC MPs into scams, both PC and Pranab Da are creating a situation for the INC MPs to find different avenues to save their souls and leave the ship. We may be seeing a faction that is inclined to go in coalition with Left and related third front as a grand coaliton (Let us call anti-US group). We may see a crony-capitalistic group of youngees from INC forming a different group. This group may split off along with Chidu.
Chidu may try to form a government with the help of current NDA and other anti-congress folks.
Pranab may try to build a coalition with the lefities and related folks. This may be INC led government.
Sensing all this rumblings to prevent a split INC may afterall go for a snap poll.
There is a saying in Telugu - illu bazaarki eedcharu. The INC honchos have decided to do that and the Gandhis are sitting quite as they will also become dust if they try anything other than being quite.
' /> I will try to write kacchha.There are certain questions that needs analysis.
In simple terms why is there a huge talk of mid-term polls? What is the game plan for INC which already has 208 seats to go for a mid term poll? INC is threatening whom if it is just a threat?
To me the following steps happened:
(1) The asscent of Rahul G to PM is ruled out
(2) The politicos especially Chidambaram and Pranab Da thinks it is time to go one up and MMS needs to be shunted out
(3) Raja, CAG reports are opportunities
(4) Chidu was collecting the Radia tapes for a while and he has certain right-wing-elements of the establishment as friends
(5) Pranab Da is a old hand at these stuff. He has the left wingers and old economy friends
(6) The tug of war between Pranab and Chidu is what we are seeing in all aspects while making the 2-Gs in the system as almost ullu-ka-patte
The story so far in the tug-of-war:
(1) Chidu goes for a kill with Telangana declaration. Pranab did not like it and he pulls it back with buying time until the commission report. Chidu is with BJP
(2) Chidu goes full blown against Maoists. Again he is with BJP
(3) Chidu pulls out Radia tapes taking the CAG cue. But he carefully releases involving TATA. Tata is old economy guy and in the Pranab Da camp
(4) Ambanis and Mittals are quite with no comments
(5) Pranab Da releases financial irregularities that occured exactly during Chidu's times. This is to fix Chidu
(6) As though it is not sufficient these folks are competetively exposing one scam after another that has INC hands in it. Food scam is another big one. This is to fix Sharad Pawar and give huge leaverage to Ajit Pawar.
On a different Plane - The Gandhis also wanted a change because solidification of one person makes it difficult and puppet gets its own life.
MMS dimension - MMS has a very good survival instinct. He has more things up his sleeve that will put Gandhis in trouble and also Chidu in trouble. He is quietly passing Telecom scandal money tracks to Subramanium Swamy. He may have sent the details about Chidu's ravages with Ukranian prostitutes etc. as well.
MMS's strategy is very simple. Give a TINA to Gandhis.
But why the threat of Mid-term polls?
I think in these tug-off wars the possibility of Mamta leaving at some point of time is imminent. More she is associated with such huge scams' tainted party and government her future dwindiles. She leaving also helps Pranab Da.
By enraging Jagan and Sharad Pawar and also including too many INC MPs into scams, both PC and Pranab Da are creating a situation for the INC MPs to find different avenues to save their souls and leave the ship. We may be seeing a faction that is inclined to go in coalition with Left and related third front as a grand coaliton (Let us call anti-US group). We may see a crony-capitalistic group of youngees from INC forming a different group. This group may split off along with Chidu.
Chidu may try to form a government with the help of current NDA and other anti-congress folks.
Pranab may try to build a coalition with the lefities and related folks. This may be INC led government.
Sensing all this rumblings to prevent a split INC may afterall go for a snap poll.
There is a saying in Telugu - illu bazaarki eedcharu. The INC honchos have decided to do that and the Gandhis are sitting quite as they will also become dust if they try anything other than being quite.