05-04-2012, 02:35 AM
[quote name='Arun_S' date='04 May 2012 - 02:28 AM' timestamp='1336078238' post='114793']
The IUCNA left India compromised on nuclear warhead required for cost effective nuclear deterrence. The increased cost burden of fielding nuclear detterence on Indian Military Budget is huge, because the lack of credible high yield warhead now requires building and maintaining many times bigger missile delivery force, and much greater fissile material processing and many times more warhead qty.
The large diameter Agni missiles now need to be redied with much greater throw weight (compromising range), and Small Indian deterrence now also make necessary Indian ABM missile shield (which itself is contineously a moving technological target). Accuracy of Agni warhead delivery not withstanding.
Arihant class subs for now is a useless platform, because the warhead that can reside in close proximilty of human crews, are non-existant, given the failure of TN on Pok-2 and absence of alternative design that could have been tested on Pok-2 but thanks to Chidumbrum were not tested per his test validation plan.
Need for nuclear triade (a.k.a Arihant platform) requires Indian to test again, and bridge the chasm of credible warheads required for credible deterrence.
[/quote]
I am not sure the government is in a mood to test. The santanam affair was quietly hushed. DAE has clearly been sidelined on the ENR issue with our domestic ENR being highlighted. Homi baba's three stage plan has been given a quiet burial. There is a move towards a large import reactor segment without ENR import which is akin to us having a US Saudi Arabia relationship with US, France, Russia and the entire NSG block subject to a nuclear blockade. A test now will show the real positions of the rest of the world towards India.
The IUCNA left India compromised on nuclear warhead required for cost effective nuclear deterrence. The increased cost burden of fielding nuclear detterence on Indian Military Budget is huge, because the lack of credible high yield warhead now requires building and maintaining many times bigger missile delivery force, and much greater fissile material processing and many times more warhead qty.
The large diameter Agni missiles now need to be redied with much greater throw weight (compromising range), and Small Indian deterrence now also make necessary Indian ABM missile shield (which itself is contineously a moving technological target). Accuracy of Agni warhead delivery not withstanding.
Arihant class subs for now is a useless platform, because the warhead that can reside in close proximilty of human crews, are non-existant, given the failure of TN on Pok-2 and absence of alternative design that could have been tested on Pok-2 but thanks to Chidumbrum were not tested per his test validation plan.
Need for nuclear triade (a.k.a Arihant platform) requires Indian to test again, and bridge the chasm of credible warheads required for credible deterrence.
[/quote]
I am not sure the government is in a mood to test. The santanam affair was quietly hushed. DAE has clearly been sidelined on the ENR issue with our domestic ENR being highlighted. Homi baba's three stage plan has been given a quiet burial. There is a move towards a large import reactor segment without ENR import which is akin to us having a US Saudi Arabia relationship with US, France, Russia and the entire NSG block subject to a nuclear blockade. A test now will show the real positions of the rest of the world towards India.