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rajeev2007.wordpress.com/2014/05/14/so-near-yet-so-far-how-the-congress-may-try-to-thwart-modis-coronation-on-may-16/



via rajeev2004.blogspot.com/2014/05/beware-of-ides-of-may-or-something-like.html

So near yet so far: How the Congress may try to thwart Modi’s coronation on May 16

May 14, 2014

What will happen on May 16th, 2014?



Rajeev Srinivasan





I write this shortly after the exit polls for the 2014 elections have been published, and they have uniformly suggested that the NDA will come to power with somewhere between 240 and 300 seats on their own. If you believe that the exit polls and the elections have successfully captured the will of the people, this is good. But if you are a suspicious type, it is not difficult to imagine that another constitutional coup will be readied in the next couple of days till May 16th.





I have written about several constitutional coups successfully carried out by the [color="#0000FF"]Congress[/color] in the past rediff.com/news/column/column-rajeev-srinivasan-4-ways-the-congress-won-power-through-constitutional-coups/20140107.htmp , and I see no reason to believe they have suddenly reformed themselves. They [color="#0000FF"]will hang on to power at all costs, and will be prepared to sacrifice the last Indian for it.[/color]





I would be astonished, indeed floored, if there were a smooth and simple transfer of power to the NDA. The Congress did demit office once, when Indira Gandhi lost in 1977 or so, but today’s Congressis are a different kettle of fish. They have more to hide, and also have more at stake, including their ill-gotten gains salted away, probably, in [color="#0000FF"]Macau[/color] these days as Switzerland has gotten a bit too hot.





In this context, several statements made by Congress bigwigs look sinister. [color="#0000FF"]A few days ago, P Chidambaram promised that on the 16th, there will be a big surprise.[/color] Now coming from one of the most astute of Congressmen, and one known not to exaggerate, this probably means that we are in for a “May Surprise” much like incumbent American presidents like to deliver “October Surprises” that help them.





[color="#0000FF"]Rahul Gandhi, the heir-apparent manqué, was more precise: he promised that 22,000 people would die if Narendra Modi were to be elected. Why exactly 22,000? He did not elaborate.





But Amaresh Misra, a leading Congressman, was quite vocal in a series of tweets on May 13th. He promised rivers of blood. In fact he was quite blood-curdling, here is a selection, verbatim. It doesn’t appear to be mere bravado; and since he is a confidant of Rahul, we need to take his threats seriously; in fact I am not sure why he has not been subject either to the Section 66A provisions that have been used to shut down people deemed dangerous on the Internet, or to the Election Commission’s strictures regarding the model code of conduct during elections.





Amaresh Misra ‏@AmareshMisra 12h



To save democracy, all those supporting right wing forces on twitter will be killed. We will send CRPF to your houses. Drag you out/shoot!



Amaresh Misra ‏@AmareshMisra 12h



A fascist leader who will kill minorities, change India’s secular character will be stopped by the Indian State by any means!



Amaresh Misra ‏@AmareshMisra 12h



We will come out on the streets on 16th May to combat communal forces. We will kill all anti-national BJP supporters!



Amaresh Misra ‏@AmareshMisra 11h



Whoever supports Modi is a Pakistani agent. He is liable to be killed with a bullet above his waist!



Amaresh Misra ‏@AmareshMisra 9h



In Egypt, the army killed 2000 fundamentalists to preserve secularism. We will kill 2,00,000 Sanghis to save Indian democracy!



Amaresh Misra ‏@AmareshMisra 7h



Indian people will not accept even one seat to BJP/NDA beyond 180, cause that means rigging by Modi. We will call in the army. We will kill!



Amaresh Misra ‏@AmareshMisra 7h



Election Commission will be responsible for any violence on 16th May. EC needs to insure BJP/NDA does not get 1 seat beyond 180![/color]



[color="#800080"](That last one: Dictating to the EC; nay, even blackmailing it. Sufficient grounds for disbanding KryptoKristoKangress and banning it forever?)[/color]



To put this in context, I wrote recently (in the unfortunately titled rediff.com/news/column/rajeev-srinivasan-the-time-will-come-when-america-can-dictate-to-india/20140303.htmp ) about the [color="#0000FF"]Berkeley mafia focusing on ‘violent riots in India’. The general tone – and the decidedly dubious members of the group – suggested to me that far from ‘studying violent riots’ they may well be keen to incite a few. Reading between the lines, some of them, including US residents, have been spending a lot of time in the field in India, although it is not clear if they are trying to construct new and improved narratives for Gujarat 2002, or whether they are doing reconnaissance for new riots to be launched.[/color]





To add to this, to my personal chagrin as my alma mater, [color="#0000FF"]Stanford’s Law School has just produced a report entitled[/color], ponderously, “When Justice Becomes the Victim: The Quest for Justice After the 2002 Violence in Gujarat” humanrightsclinic.law.stanford.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/When-Justice-Becomes-the-Victim-secure.pdf . I haven’t read it, but judging from the breathlessness with which it was sprung upon an unsuspecting public by lefties – I imagine it consists of more warmed-over nonsense that paints the 2002 Gujarat riots as, well, the greatest example of man’s inhumanity to man, since, let me guess, the fire-bombing of Tokyo in WW2 that killed 100,000 people?





What this suggests, in conjunction with the rabid anti-Modi rhetoric from the western military-industrial-media complex, especially the New York Times and The Economist, is that the imperial and religious-conversion types there have no intention of letting go of India, now that they have locked on to it as a prime target for domination, and have amassed (in Rajiv Malhotra’s terminology) an army of sepoys to ensure that their writ continues to run in India.





Therefore, there are several scenarios I fear may be played out in the near future:





[color="#0000FF"]1.The 1996 scenario, with the NDA only getting 250 seats, and being forced to demit office after only 13 days

2.The AAP scenario, with a puppet government sworn in and the Congress pulling the strings from behind

3.The Kerala 1957 scenario, with the country being made ungovernable through manufactured violence

4.The Z scenario, with Modi being liquidated and martial law being imposed[/color]





The 1996 scenario

Atal Behari Vajpayee only managed to get 252 seats, and with all the ‘secular’ parties unwilling to support him, was forced to resign after 13 days and call for fresh elections. This is the most benign scenario the Congress might follow: and it would be a relatively simple matter for them to manipulate the Electronic Voting Machines to get this outcome.





We have known for a long time (see indiaevm.org or my previous column news.rediff.com/column/2010/sep/01/the-real-issue-with-electronic-voting-machines.htm ) that EVMs are highly vulnerable. Given the opaque and easily-penetrated nature of election security, and given endemic corruption, it is highly probable that EVMs can be manipulated to come out with any result desired by the powers-that-be. Let us note that the Supreme Court-mandated VVPATs (EVMs with printed receipts ready for a recount if need be) are in only 20,000 out 18,00,000 booths, in effect making the court order superfluous. We still have the EVMs that did such yeoman duty in 2009.



[color="#800080"](EVMs have been imposed on India and similars for the sole purpose of rigging elections in christowest's favour and that of their chosen puppet govts. From the west's POV, it's the least expensive way - in terms of efforts to manipulate, and number of human lives to take etc - to install their selected puppet govts. Colour revolutions are more expensive. And outright genocides of non-aligning masses - by lighting powder kegs beneath key targets - are more messy and will further lead to mock trials which also cost a lot of money to put on the show for international audiences. Hence, christowest prefers EVMs as best return on investment.)[/color]





I predict that they will confine the NDA to 250 seats, thus leaving Narendra Modi to the tender mercies of the Teen Kanya (J Jayalalitha, Mamata Banerjee, and Mayawati), whose support the NDA would require to hit the magic 272. All of them are tough customers, and it would be very difficult for the NDA to win them over (with Jayalalitha a slightly better prospect). Chances are that a fresh election will have to be called later this year.



[color="#800080"](But:

1. livemint.com/Politics/TGf6KOceKzNsAR8BFtOy7K/No-support-to-NDA-says-Mayawati.html

"BSP, Trinamool rule out support to BJP post-poll - Livemint"

2. hindustantimes.com/elections2014/election-beat/mayawati-rules-out-support-to-modi-govt-post-elections/article1-1217491.aspx

"Mayawati rules out support to BJP-led NDA government post elections"



Plus Joylolita is a convert, or practically so. Cryptochristian. While Mumtaz Banshee - as Rajeev2004 bloggers called her - is a convert to islam, or at least well on her way to uttering the Shahada.)[/color]



The problem is that Narendra Modi’s literally superhuman efforts addressing hundreds of rallies (and they were more than a normal human being should be asked to deliver) are what brought about the Modi Wave or Tsunami. It would be literally impossible for him to replicate this feat, and thus a by-election would bring a much-diminished tally to the NDA, obliging them to once again solicit the various regional satraps and being forced to accept their agendas.





And how will the obvious disconnect between the exit polls and the election ‘results’ be explained away? Oh, the exit polls are always wrong, they will say, pulling out the numbers from 2009 for reference. In fact, the Economic Times has already done so, right on cue (“Before results, opinions”, May 12th). There is also the small matter, as pointed out by Monu Nalapat in 2009, that the EC web site had some results before counting started – that is, instead of the server taking data from the individual EVMs, the results were pre-programmed into the server!



And oh, just to make things more entertaining, they may actually pull off the trick of having Arvind Kejriwal defeat Modi in Varanasi. EVM magic at your service!





The AAP scenario



By now it is clear that the Aam Admi Party, despite all its hoopla, was merely a mask for the Congress, and a way for it to split anti-incumbency votes. The proper modus operandi was used to perfection in the Delhi polls recently. By sacrificing the unpopular Sheila Dixit (well, let’s not cry for her – she’s comfortably ensconced as Kerala Governor: nice sinecure) the Congress was able to blunt the BJP’s thrust to rule Delhi.





By projecting AAP as different from the Congress, and then quietly supporting them at an opportune time, the election was essentially stolen from the BJP: the AAP made big inroads into the educated urban cohort that is the most fed-up with the Congress. Naturally, western vested interests, in the form of various Agencies and Foundations, provided the lion’s share of the funding, and the media, with alacrity, anointed Arvind Kejriwal as a serious contender for the Prime Minister post. (In reality, the AAP may win 0-1 seat, at best 2-3.)





This scenario can work with that hoary chestnut, the Third Front government that will surely be trotted out should the NDA not get a clear majority. As in 2004, when the Communists ‘supported the UPA from outside’, it would not be difficult to arrange a ramshackle and unsteady coalition to form the government, with the Congress ‘supporting it from outside’.





Of course, this would lead to disaster, as investors, especially the FIIs who have run up the Sensex and the rupee, immediately leave in droves, as they would be aware that absolutely nothing would move forward on the economic front. Status quo ante, stagflation.





The Kerala 1957 scenario



The Communist government of EMS Nambudiripad, duly elected, was ousted in 1957 using a classic, reputedly standard spy agency tactic. By funding and supporting the most reactionary elements in Kerala (you can guess who they were), the three-letter Agency was able to manufacture a law-and-order situation.





The great democrat Jawaharlal Nehru, far from upholding the sanctity of the democratic process, promptly used Section 356 of the Constitution to impose President’s rule and kicked EMS out. Not that I hold any brief for the Communists, but this was a patently authoritarian act, and it set India on the slippery slope towards later, indiscriminate use of the Center’s powers to get rid of state governments it simply did not like.





Given the Berkeley mafia’s exertions, and the Stanford guys’ fulminations, not to mention seriously bone-chilling perorations in The Guardian, etc. by all sorts of people – and I have to mention that, to its credit, the Wall Street Journal has kept away from this travesty – it seems likely that the West (especially John Kerry, Hillary Clinton and other assorted Democrats) is intent on creating problems in India.



[color="#800080"](AmriKKKan foreign policy does not change, esp. as regards India and the likes, regardless of whether it's democrats or republicans. Why is every nationalist Indian eager to forget USAID (World Vision) under Republican Bush "gawd spoke to me" Jr's and their Evangelical Harvest programme for India? It laid a significant part of the infrastructure for the harvest, while others are now completing the tasks assigned back then.)[/color]





[color="#0000FF"]There have been many instances when popularly-elected leaders have been subverted – the overthrow of Mossadegh in Iran, or that of Allende in Chile come to mind – after the creation of serious law and order situations. In case you think I am kidding, Exhibit A: last month’s Assam riot between Muslims and Bodos; last week’s Meerut riot between Muslims and Jains (yes, Jains!); and today’s Hyderabad riot between Muslims and Sikhs.





The threats from Rahul Gandhi and Amrish Misra point to the likelihood of such planned ‘uprisings’ taking place. Of course, the use of violence to disrupt and tie down an administration can happen even if a Modi government does come to power. Incidentally, this is very close to what is happening in Thailand right now, as low-level violence has paralyzed the nation, and a court has just asked Yingluck Shinawatra to step down.[/color]





The Z scenario



This is the most alarming, but by no means unthinkable, scenario. The film Z by Costa-Gavras, based on real-life incidents in Greece in the 1950s, shows how an enormously popular candidate for the presidency is assassinated by the military junta in power. When popular unrest bubbles up, the generals declare martial law and countermand the elections. This is quite possibly the greatest political film of all time, and it is my nightmare scenario.





[color="#0000FF"]Let us remember that as long ago as five or six years ago Karan Thapar, a journalist with strong ties to the Congress, talked about “the sudden removal of Narendra Modi”. It was obvious that he was thinking about an assassination, a physical liquiation. So this scenario has been thought about by at least some people.[/color]



[color="#800080"](If only Modi et al's life could be linked to 2 nuke buttons - one pointing at TSP-W and the other at TSP-E - to be launched if anything happens to Modi etc. Or indeed, if christoislami-communist try to unleash their murderous riots on Hindus.)[/color]





I argued some time ago indiafacts.co.in/author/rajeev-srinivasan/#sthash.DtEgOnxf.dpbs that Modi had grown too popular to be assassinated – as the backlash would surely propel the BJP to office. However, now that the election is over, that point is moot, and it would not constrain anybody.





And exactly what will happen in such a scenario? Even though people have suggested there would be a civil war, I doubt it. The Army has remained apolitical and thus a marginal player. The average Indian is too docile to go out there and throw Molotov cocktails, and even if we had more hot-heads in the population, as in Iran or Ukraine or Egypt, or even in the US (remember the “Occupy Wall Street” etc. demonstrations?), it is hard to sustain an agitation over a long period, and the authorities can wear you down – you do have to go to work and earn a living, after all. Thus, an actual coup would become a fait accompli.





I have outlined above several scenarios that might unfold by Friday. I truly hope that I am wrong, and that there will be a smooth transition of power without the decimation of any of the institutions of the State. If otherwise, I hope that the least violent and the least damaging path will be taken, for the sake of this great nation.



2291 words, May 14, 2014



Errata: An earlier version said 1998 instead of 1996 for the short-lived Vajpayee government. Sorry.

The comments:

7 Responses to “So near yet so far: How the Congress may try to thwart Modi’s coronation on May 16”





AAP Watch (@AAPWatch) Says:



May 14, 2014 at 4:30 am

I agree with you analysis, but why is Modi himself such a great supporter of opaque riggable EVMs? If he has any concerns, he is doing a good job of hiding them.





AAP Watch (@AAPWatch) Says:



May 14, 2014 at 4:30 am

By the way, pls unblock me on twitter :-)





[color="#0000FF"]JayKumar (@J_JayKumar) Says:



May 14, 2014 at 5:14 am

Z Scenario..



Wanted to add one of my friends served Indian Army with there Short Service commission and later due to his leg broke he quit and came back to civil life..He once narrated to me that in 1996 or 1998 (Not sure of year because incident of talk between me and him took place several years ago). It was all set that if Atal Bihari Vajpayee comes to power Army rule would be installed in the country.



I think this could be true because of Civil unrest in the country of Modi becomes PM.[/color]





rajeev2007 Says:



May 14, 2014 at 5:39 am

aapwatch, i don’t know if/why namo is not worried about evms. ok, i’ll unblock you



jaykumar, i am fairly sure the army is going to stay out of it. [color="#0000FF"]the thugs will be from the congress, inciting riots. they know how to do this. for instance, the godhra burning of the sabarmati was led by congressis[/color]



[color="#800080"](Rajeev's comment that "i am fairly sure the army is going to stay out of it." <--> which is exactly why the KryptoKristoKangress party has been pushing for converting army officers and quotas for christoislamics in the armed forces. [So, if not now, then it's something to worry about during future elections.] In S Korea, the army and police are christian - and used this to directly christo-terrorise the Korean population - see links to "Buddhism Under (christian) Siege in Korea"**. Happened after christian govt took charge in S Korean and instituted a policy of christianisation at all levels.



** 1. web.archive.org/web/20130705235420/http://www.buddhapia.com/eng/tedesco/2.html Timeline of Buddhism Under christian Siege in Korea, 1982-1996

2. web.archive.org/web/20130705155603/http://www.buddhapia.com/eng/tedesco/3.html Timeline of Buddhism Under christian Siege in Korea, Chronology of Events January 1997- December 1998

NOTE: buddhapia site has now expired too and has to now be retrieved from Internet Archive)[/color]





Manjusha (@man8shree) Says:



May 14, 2014 at 6:11 am

Although knowing and overcoming Congress’ ‘devilish’ schemes is necessary..I believe that this time ‘divine’ schemes are working in favor of BJP & Modi in particular. Let us see.





Madhava Rao Says:



May 14, 2014 at 6:45 am

The biggest surprise will be EVMs being rigged and AAP getting around 50 seats with Kejri defeating Modi in Varanasi. [color="#0000FF"]Mark my words. Kejri already declared that Modi will lose his deposit. He has some inside information then already…….[/color]





rajeev2007 Says:



May 14, 2014 at 8:34 pm

manjusha, would like to believe in divine intervention, and i do believe in divine grace. but god helps those who help themselves; we can’t just pray and hope, we must be prepared.



madhava rao, if you have the key to the EVM you can make any magic happen, yes, even ak49 defeating modi. it is a matter of just programming the server that the EVM talks to.

Rajeev didn't mention The Yugoslavia Scenario. That's the tactic the west is famous for pulling when they fail all the mileposts on the way. The Yugoslavia scenario entails the west orchestrating mass violence against the good guys (esp. AmeriKKKa arming the bad guys and telling them when to attack/where to attack etc), yell "genocide/war crimes" by the good guys of the bad guys etc. - despite the genocide being committed by the bad guys against the good guys -, then create international condemnation, then put on a show trial at the Hague and condemn the good guys, and finally close off the charade by magically killing the good guys' democratically elected leader during said show trial (since any facts that come out during the trial won't work in favour of western militant meddling and media spin). E.g. see post 34 of Yugoslavia thread - though it won't make sense unless the Yugoslavia thread is read from the start.



The Yugoslavia Tactic is what the west will be forced to pull if Amir-sheesh Mirza doesn't manage to carry out his threats to have the majority (nationalist) voters of India genocided.





rajeev2004.blogspot.com/2014/05/quick-notes-reporting-template-illegal.html

Thursday, May 15, 2014

Quick notes: Reporting template, illegal coal mines...



•pSecular reporting template: Interview someone like MG Vaidya, ask about Ram Mandir, make insinuations about hidden agenda and secular mask, create controversy, trivialize everything else. Expect this to be a routine for the psecular media from now on. The Hindu made this their front page lead today.

[color="#0000FF"]thehindu.com/news/national/modi-must-deliver-on-ram-temple-rss-leader/article6009618.ece[/color]



[...]

Funny how the west, Indian christomedia, the cryptochristo Kangress party/AAP and the types of people who vote for them always advertise "democracy RaRa" when KKKangress rigs EVMs.

But the minute the actual majority comes out to vote the christoterrorism out of power (and the anti-Hindu Indian political parties are *all* christian), the christo political parties threaten genocide of the majority. Of course they never abide by their rules: both when they break their own rules in their attempt to win (EVM rigging) and when they lose fair and square.



The threats by Amir Mirza (Raoul Ghandy and even P. Chid) to genocide 200,000 Sanghis up to every Indian who voted for the BJP should not be idly ignored.

Hindus need to watch out in the upcoming period if the election results turn out in high disfavour for the Krypto Kristian Kangress party of India.



Personally, I'd suggest holding the wife and mistresses of Mr Mirza as well as all his spawn hostage - and so too the relatives of many another KKKongress virus - as a means of security: to prevent KKKongressis from instigating any genocidal action against the thus-far law-abiding (to a fault) native heathen majority. And if *any* Hindu voter gets murdered on account of Mirza et al's threats or his not-so-subtle incitements of christoislamicommunists to genocide Hindus, then should take that as a signal to off the hostages, and take yet more. Terrorists will never learn until civil people show they're at last ready to mean business too.

People will be surprised at how *quick* KKKongressis will be to protect Hindu lives from the never-ending christoislami-communist bloodlust when anything the KKK care about is threatened. (Although, freezing their assets may be more effective still: KKKongressis have no loyalties except to themselves and to jeebusjehovallah, and they may therefore sooner be willing to let their own spawn and mistresses die than see their loot confiscated.)





1. rajeev2007.wordpress.com/2014/05/14/so-near-yet-so-far-how-the-congress-may-try-to-thwart-modis-coronation-on-may-16/

2. And radha rajan's article (haven't yet read): rajeev2004.blogspot.com/2014/05/fwd-narendra-modi-subramania-bharatis.html