04-25-2011, 02:43 PM
Arunji,
There is also an interview of Dr. Santhanam around 2009 (in NewsX i think). He was asked why he did not openly oppose the N-deal. His answer was that there is no commitment in the N-deal not to test, whereas in 2009 the danger of MMS signing CTBT forced him to go public.
The reality is that the "international community" has very little leverage to punish us if we test again. The worst that can happen is that the deal is undone (which means returning to the pre-deal status). Even that will require at least as much "international consensus" to achieve as was required to get us "in". Vested business interests will oppose such a consensus. If we get NSG membership (however, one cannot bet on this), then expelling us will require our own permission.
All in all, if a GoI with pol. will goes ahead and tests, the "international community" can only curse us verbally (along with some NGO types at home). They are in no position to do anything concrete against us.
The key is to free GoI from external political control. Many liberal NGOs are another facet of this (probably even more dangerous). Once all such videshiparast elements are sidelined, the rest will be automatic.
There is also an interview of Dr. Santhanam around 2009 (in NewsX i think). He was asked why he did not openly oppose the N-deal. His answer was that there is no commitment in the N-deal not to test, whereas in 2009 the danger of MMS signing CTBT forced him to go public.
The reality is that the "international community" has very little leverage to punish us if we test again. The worst that can happen is that the deal is undone (which means returning to the pre-deal status). Even that will require at least as much "international consensus" to achieve as was required to get us "in". Vested business interests will oppose such a consensus. If we get NSG membership (however, one cannot bet on this), then expelling us will require our own permission.
All in all, if a GoI with pol. will goes ahead and tests, the "international community" can only curse us verbally (along with some NGO types at home). They are in no position to do anything concrete against us.
The key is to free GoI from external political control. Many liberal NGOs are another facet of this (probably even more dangerous). Once all such videshiparast elements are sidelined, the rest will be automatic.